Cyphercapital
0xf8f51be8e6a748fbb63d308f4b588b8754743766
- Realised P&L
- $30.5k
- Volume
- $536.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $957.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.600 | $900.00 | −$135.00 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.145 | $65.08 | +$3.73 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$903.29 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$960.82 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$397.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.9kat 0.467Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
- +$6.5kat 0.326Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$4.6kat 0.647Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
- +$3.9kat 0.238Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$3.2kat 0.102Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 12:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.69 | $18.63 |
| 08-05 04:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | SELL | 0.2008937348 | $2.0k |
| 08-05 04:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | SELL | 0.5929895653 | $4.7k |
| 08-04 10:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.1708024159 | $1.2k |
| 08-04 10:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.3855588724 | $1.5k |
| 08-03 06:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.51 | $14.07 |
| 08-03 06:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.2094776352 | $496.42 |
| 07-23 15:25 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $42.00 |
| 07-23 15:24 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $19.34 |
| 07-23 09:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.6k |
| 07-21 14:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.2k |
| 07-14 01:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.8k |
| 07-08 13:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.1019943994 | $365.86 |
| 07-08 13:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.068 | $223.40 |
| 07-08 08:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.4835384283 | $851.10 |