SoniaRift
0xf8e752a60563e712ebeaa818600026a037e2daf3
- Realised P&L
- $-7.98
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $4.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.43at 0.144Nuggets vs. Bulls
- +$32.00at 0.140Nuggets vs. 76ers
- +$30.48at 0.187Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 24-31?
- +$23.86at 0.143Pistons vs. Pacers
- +$22.00at 0.310Mavericks vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-21 01:31 | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 01-20 14:30 | Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.90 |
| 01-02 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $1.05 |
| 01-02 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 01-02 18:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 01-02 18:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 01-02 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 01-02 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 01-02 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 01-02 16:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 01-02 16:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 01-02 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 01-02 16:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 01-02 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 01-02 15:54 | Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |