PolyBot

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Traders

SoniaRift

0xf8e752a60563e712ebeaa818600026a037e2daf3

Realised P&L
$-7.98
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$4.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1500.042$4.15$10.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00$2.25
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 21-28? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026? · No0.3100.000$0.00$1.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.0410.000$0.00$2.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.1060.000$0.00$1.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$12.00
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 21-28? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$7.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.0330.000$0.00$4.90
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 21-28? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$12.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.0260.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-21 01:31Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
01-20 14:30Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.998$99.90
01-02 20:54Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.03$1.05
01-02 20:53Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.06$1.20
01-02 18:59Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
01-02 18:53Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
01-02 18:13Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.02$2.00
01-02 18:06Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSELL0.4$8.00
01-02 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.05$1.00
01-02 16:32Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.1699999609$3.00
01-02 16:28Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
01-02 16:24Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.09$0.90
01-02 16:23Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.1$2.00
01-02 16:13Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.01$2.00
01-02 15:54Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.999$100.00