0xf8e4943df102da8d5271cf5bb9e4a439739b3b32
- Realised P&L
- $11.3k
- Volume
- $2.15M
- Markets traded
- 4,171
- Open portfolio
- $356.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,171
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Tszyu vs. Ben Mahoney · Ben Mahoney | 0.394 | 0.255 | $104.90 | −$57.16 |
| UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) · Joanderson Brito | 0.748 | 1.000 | $30.98 | +$7.78 |
| Will AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 1.000 | $28.99 | +$21.74 |
| Sri Lanka Tour of England T20s: England vs Sri Lanka · England | 0.860 | 1.000 | $26.99 | +$3.77 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.610 | 0.950 | $25.65 | +$9.18 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.504 | 1.000 | $23.63 | +$11.72 |
| Spread: Utah (-30.5) · Utah | 0.470 | 0.820 | $21.32 | +$9.10 |
| Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.890 | 1.000 | $15.47 | +$1.70 |
| Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.575 | $13.22 | −$0.12 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.410 | 0.405 | $11.34 | −$0.14 |
| Miami (OH) vs. Cincinnati · Cincinnati | 0.740 | 0.455 | $10.92 | −$6.84 |
| Spread: Louisville (-2.5) · Louisville | 0.520 | 0.390 | $10.92 | −$3.64 |
| Davis Cup: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Arthur Rinderknech · Arthur Rinderknech | 0.370 | 0.315 | $8.48 | −$1.48 |
| Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · Florida International | 0.345 | 0.275 | $7.63 | −$1.95 |
| Spread: Toledo (-5.5) · Toledo | 0.453 | 0.160 | $4.64 | −$8.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$942.92at 0.010Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07?
- +$853.76at 0.223Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
- +$775.99at 0.234California vs. Syracuse
- +$647.02at 0.877US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington Jones
- +$635.44at 0.496Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:31 | Szczecin: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luka Mikrut | BUY | 0.5699999993 | $251.14 |
| 09-19 14:05 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6830275624 | $190.32 |
| 09-19 06:47 | Davis Cup: Hyeon Chung vs. Dhakshineswar Suresh | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $44.66 |
| 09-19 06:47 | Davis Cup: Hyeon Chung vs. Dhakshineswar Suresh | BUY | 0.54 | $175.23 |
| 09-19 06:47 | Davis Cup: Hyeon Chung vs. Dhakshineswar Suresh | BUY | 0.5399999994 | $208.20 |
| 09-19 06:32 | Davis Cup: Hyeon Chung vs. Dhakshineswar Suresh | BUY | 0.55 | $35.75 |
| 09-19 04:23 | Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4157142857 | $14.55 |
| 09-19 00:18 | Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $274.96 |
| 09-19 00:18 | Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.5881873989 | $32.45 |
| 09-19 00:18 | Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.51 | $23.97 |
| 09-19 00:17 | Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.44 | $18.48 |
| 09-18 18:28 | Will Liverpool LFC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.16 | $71.44 |
| 09-18 03:49 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.46 | $39.56 |
| 09-17 17:23 | Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5399999992 | $203.28 |
| 09-16 20:47 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.3699999998 | $371.28 |