harmlesstree
0xf8e3a0e54a23d2653f921da5044edda02e89ee2a
- Realised P&L
- $-19.58
- Volume
- $144.82
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $35.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.5 · Yes | 0.330 | 0.225 | $8.18 | −$3.82 |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 6.5 · Yes | 0.370 | 0.365 | $6.91 | −$0.09 |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 · Yes | 0.430 | 0.465 | $5.41 | +$0.41 |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5 · Yes | 0.320 | 0.195 | $4.27 | −$2.73 |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5 · Yes | 0.510 | 0.255 | $4.00 | −$4.00 |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 · Yes | 0.370 | 0.215 | $3.49 | −$2.51 |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 · Yes | 0.330 | 0.205 | $3.11 | −$1.89 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5 · Yes | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5 · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Nets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B · 9z | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · Jurij Rodionov | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 7.5 · Yes | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5 · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.26at 0.430Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5
- +$9.35at 0.517Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 4.5
- +$7.67at 0.402Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
- +$7.17at 0.462Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
- +$7.05at 0.422LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 16:08 | Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | BUY | 0.3699999821 | $6.00 |
| 11-02 15:21 | Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 15:20 | Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 14:42 | Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 14:40 | Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.3299999877 | $7.00 |
| 11-02 14:33 | Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099999841 | $8.00 |
| 11-02 14:31 | Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.3699999984 | $7.00 |
| 11-02 14:29 | Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $7.00 |
| 11-02 03:17 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $6.00 |
| 11-02 03:16 | Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 21:16 | Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $6.00 |
| 10-31 05:39 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 17:44 | Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5 | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 16:58 | Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5236922018 | $5.00 |