cilk1223
0xf8dff43bc6e392a189797118b974a5a867bb1297
- Realised P&L
- $-629.61
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.22at 0.397LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$71.35at 0.337Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$62.94at 0.392Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
- +$43.30at 0.492LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- +$37.83at 0.447LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 13:40 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 13:24 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.40 |
| 10-13 12:49 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | SELL | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 10-13 10:30 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:30 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:30 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:11 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 09:50 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999939 | $7.00 |
| 10-13 09:23 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.66 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 09:19 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:19 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.61 | $0.50 |
| 10-13 09:15 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.33 | $2.64 |
| 10-13 09:06 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.1699999887 | $1.50 |
| 10-13 09:02 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.82 | $7.23 |
| 10-13 08:37 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |