PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

treasuryorigin

0xf8dc0622bba309be2a1baf15632364057bab426a

Realised P&L
$80.16
Volume
$33.0k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$175.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? · Yes0.4500.505$175.13+$19.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 12:24Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?SELL0.5$12.57
09-21 11:43Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?BUY0.45$167.37
09-18 07:24Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.58$13.98
09-18 06:28Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.54$260.46
09-16 09:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17?SELL0.44$27.61
09-16 08:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17?BUY0.41$385.40
09-14 14:23Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?SELL0.51$6.11
09-14 13:44Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.52$155.86
09-11 06:19Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.44$24.46
09-11 05:30Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.45$297.73
06-26 09:46Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.998$47.64
06-26 09:39Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.995$31.53
06-26 09:30Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.999$47.70
06-26 09:19Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.985$10.84
06-26 09:12Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.996$15.05