elveradefino1642921
0xf8d9d7be21c25646fb8c936d88bdca4a9ae4991b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.18
- Volume
- $42.13
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.400 | $2.00 | −$0.85 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.55 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.40at 0.520Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
- +$1.49at 0.490Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
- +$-0.05at 0.462Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:34 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-14 06:05 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 08-15 15:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 08-12 02:37 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 07-27 05:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-24 02:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 07-13 07:35 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | BUY | 0.4979999364 | $2.10 |
| 07-08 04:39 | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 06-17 05:37 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BUY | 0.4799999314 | $1.40 |