0xf8d7b62bfdd32afaaa18ce9387b523c44c262fcb
0xf8d7b62bfdd32afaaa18ce9387b523c44c262fcb
- Realised P&L
- $-3.64
- Volume
- $229.05
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $2.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.700 | 0.855 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.710 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.25at 0.420SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$2.16at 0.430Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.99at 0.450Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.460Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $176 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.470Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 12:11 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 22:58 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 15:38 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:37 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 23:15 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:25 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:15 | Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.65? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 04:11 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:44 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:31 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:31 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |