shdbjm
0xf8d68d00fcd460c81fdb8fa558f535836202524b
- Realised P&L
- $-414.12
- Volume
- $26.8k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $30.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.055 | $30.66 | −$236.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.60at 0.500Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$8.62at 0.977Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$7.26at 0.760Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$3.71at 0.990Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$2.73at 0.657Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 07:48 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $11.79 |
| 05-21 06:16 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $255.15 |
| 05-21 06:00 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.37 | $119.95 |
| 03-16 12:14 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5514953137 | $168.87 |
| 03-16 12:14 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.1 | $14.00 |
| 03-16 12:14 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.89 | $124.60 |
| 01-28 05:47 | Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $409.47 |
| 01-28 05:46 | Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $409.88 |
| 01-28 05:46 | Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $409.88 |
| 01-28 05:45 | Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $410.29 |
| 01-28 05:44 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $410.29 |
| 01-28 05:42 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $410.71 |
| 01-28 05:42 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $410.70 |
| 01-28 05:41 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $411.12 |
| 01-28 05:39 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $411.12 |