PolyBot

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Traders

0xf8d2a4939298a02fdea15e86d48bf74730a9a16e

0xf8d2a4939298a02fdea15e86d48bf74730a9a16e

Realised P&L
$23.51
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
244
Open portfolio
$1.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded244
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29? · No0.3800.340$1.34−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 29? · Yes0.0010.003$0.03+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 28? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 5? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 28? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 17:05Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?BUY0.3799999443$1.50
09-28 17:04Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 29?SELL0.0124839994$0.85
09-28 14:46Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 29?BUY0.005$0.34
09-28 12:58Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 28?SELL0.6$2.67
09-28 10:58Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.3399999595$1.51
09-28 09:23Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 28?SELL0.003$0.08
09-28 08:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 28?SELL0.003$0.25
09-28 08:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 28?SELL0.32$1.32
09-28 08:08Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.3399999855$1.41
09-28 08:07Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 28?SELL0.05$0.45
09-28 08:07Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28?SELL0.45$1.07
09-28 04:24Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.5299998864$1.26
09-27 21:36Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?SELL0.54$1.28
09-27 13:45Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.5799998403$1.38
09-27 13:43Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?SELL0.71$1.45