qxr
0xf8d0452695fd9167da624ac2d281b697fa35c8c9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $58.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.85at 0.370Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$111.00at 0.195US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$50.73at 0.126Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
- +$42.93at 0.505US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$36.25at 0.482Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:08 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.709999999 | $196.00 |
| 10-20 13:40 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.71 | $127.80 |
| 10-20 13:39 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.2272592593 | $61.36 |
| 10-20 13:38 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.229 | $6.87 |
| 10-20 13:36 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.281 | $84.30 |
| 10-20 13:31 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.304 | $30.40 |
| 10-20 13:29 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.969 | $87.21 |
| 08-11 03:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $429.11 |
| 06-29 01:04 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 05-24 13:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 05-14 07:54 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.234784 | $23.48 |
| 05-14 06:39 | Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 05-14 06:39 | Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 05-14 06:39 | Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.62 |
| 05-14 06:35 | Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $4.38 |