qxr
0xf8d0452695fd9167da624ac2d281b697fa35c8c9
- Realised P&L
- $-333.18
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $191.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.85at 0.370Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$111.00at 0.195US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$50.90at 0.123Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
- +$42.93at 0.505US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$36.25at 0.482Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 01:04 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 05-24 13:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 05-14 07:54 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.234784 | $23.48 |
| 05-14 06:39 | Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 05-14 06:39 | Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 05-14 06:39 | Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.62 |
| 05-14 06:35 | Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $4.38 |
| 05-14 06:33 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.35 | $34.00 |
| 05-14 06:32 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.33 | $5.14 |
| 05-14 05:24 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.33 | $31.00 |
| 05-14 05:23 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 05-14 05:22 | Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.73 | $20.29 |
| 04-30 02:36 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 04-19 14:08 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.6944530353 | $157.18 |
| 04-19 13:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.1586908293 | $172.82 |