PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

113326

0xf8ce7188f9843647f7ea4371a0ee7ee177c3fbd8

Realised P&L
$-4.38
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$1.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5) · FC Barcelona0.9900.990$1.01−$0.00
Panthers vs. Packers · Packers0.8800.000$0.00−$1.02
Pacers vs. Knicks · Knicks0.8100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 12:04Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)BUY0.99$1.01
08-27 12:07Spread: Mjällby AIF (-1.5)BUY0.9859999937$1.88
05-17 11:26Internationaux de Strasbourg: Maya Joint vs Ann LiBUY0.9689999734$1.02
02-09 08:16Pacers vs. KnicksBUY0.8099999757$1.00
02-09 08:15Houston Christian Huskies vs. McNeese State CowboysBUY0.9399999624$1.00
01-06 22:08Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?BUY0.9$1.00
01-06 22:08Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?BUY0.91$1.00
12-10 09:45Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3)BUY0.859999914$1.00
12-10 09:45Suns vs. ThunderBUY0.8799999648$1.00
11-03 00:59Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL0.937$100.87
11-03 00:59Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.9379999921$100.98
11-03 00:57Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL0.937$199.82
11-03 00:57Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.9379999957$200.03
11-03 00:57Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL0.937$199.79
11-03 00:54Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.9379999959$200.00