113326
0xf8ce7188f9843647f7ea4371a0ee7ee177c3fbd8
- Realised P&L
- $-4.38
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $1.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.990 | 0.990 | $1.01 | −$0.00 |
| Panthers vs. Packers · Packers | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Pacers vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.840Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27?
- +$0.21at 0.830Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?
- +$0.16at 0.860Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3)
- +$0.14at 0.880Suns vs. Thunder
- +$0.11at 0.900Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:04 | Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $1.01 |
| 08-27 12:07 | Spread: Mjällby AIF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9859999937 | $1.88 |
| 05-17 11:26 | Internationaux de Strasbourg: Maya Joint vs Ann Li | BUY | 0.9689999734 | $1.02 |
| 02-09 08:16 | Pacers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 08:15 | Houston Christian Huskies vs. McNeese State Cowboys | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 22:08 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 22:08 | Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 12-10 09:45 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 12-10 09:45 | Suns vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 11-03 00:59 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.937 | $100.87 |
| 11-03 00:59 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9379999921 | $100.98 |
| 11-03 00:57 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.937 | $199.82 |
| 11-03 00:57 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9379999957 | $200.03 |
| 11-03 00:57 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.937 | $199.79 |
| 11-03 00:54 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9379999959 | $200.00 |