PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Maruzcategui

0xf8ca333453d6211bdde4537b927f78e45adbb46b

Realised P&L
$1.47
Volume
$472.54
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$14.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 20? · Yes0.1360.205$2.71+$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 21? · Yes0.1000.145$2.46+$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 20? · Yes0.2100.270$2.19+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.3900.447$1.72+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.1500.145$1.64$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21? · Yes0.3010.285$1.61$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.1300.135$1.56+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 20? · Yes0.2600.040$0.26$1.44
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.1700.021$0.25$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.2700.002$0.01$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 19? · Yes0.1140.001$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19? · Yes0.1900.001$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 19? · Yes0.3900.001$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 19? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 01:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-20 00:50Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 20?BUY0.1362162133$1.80
09-20 00:44Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.3899999844$1.50
09-20 00:35Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.2599999816$1.70
09-20 00:28Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.1499999912$1.70
09-20 00:25Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.1299999948$1.50
09-20 00:17Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 21?BUY0.1$1.70
09-20 00:08Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 20?BUY0.2099999765$1.70
09-20 00:03Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.3011428193$1.70
09-20 00:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-19 23:37Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19?SELL0.999$3.03
09-19 21:57Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19?SELL0.01$0.03
09-19 12:28Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 19?SELL0.08$0.12
09-19 00:27Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-19 00:24Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 19?BUY0.3899999337$1.00