PolyBot

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Traders

RenranOt

0xf8c63b7ebee4b25b59733ca58cc7955493dc39c3

Realised P&L
$9.20
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$0.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Is Earth flat? · Yes0.0130.007$0.56$0.44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 22:52Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?BUY0.15$6.60
09-10 22:51Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?SELL0.41$24.19
09-10 20:07Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.6099999942$36.00
07-29 19:29Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.046$0.90
07-29 19:29Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.27$8.18
07-29 18:06Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.347$2.83
07-29 18:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$49.95
07-29 16:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.74$37.00
07-29 16:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.255929593$23.26
07-20 12:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL0.11$2.29
07-20 12:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-19 20:35Is Earth flat?BUY0.0125486259$1.00
07-19 20:33Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0509999494$1.00
07-19 20:32Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?BUY0.6129999691$5.00
07-19 20:31Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00