edward51
0xf8c3f12305b45e138413caefbac351b1cfde868e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.21
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $13.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split · Yes | 0.564 | 0.615 | $13.06 | +$1.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.15at 0.988Will Solana reach $250 in April?
- +$0.14at 0.988Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?
- +$0.14at 0.990Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?
- +$0.14at 0.991Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
- +$0.10at 0.995Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 11:20 | Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split | BUY | 0.5638107866 | $11.97 |
| 01-31 14:10 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989998572 | $6.12 |
| 01-31 13:50 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.10 |
| 01-30 14:27 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.57 |
| 01-30 14:19 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999596 | $14.08 |
| 01-30 13:06 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.09 |
| 12-30 09:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998999928 | $9.32 |
| 12-30 01:13 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.40 |
| 12-29 22:24 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.32 |
| 12-29 20:17 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.38 |
| 12-29 19:30 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999942 | $29.80 |
| 10-30 23:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.88 |
| 10-30 22:17 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.69 |
| 10-30 19:32 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.71 |
| 10-30 18:17 | Will XRP reach $3.40 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.95 |