0xf8c252aad0f0a8af9af7ad1228205ab32da75fa2
0xf8c252aad0f0a8af9af7ad1228205ab32da75fa2
- Realised P&L
- $-18.20
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $12.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.145 | $12.08 | +$2.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.02at 0.373Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$10.07at 0.497Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$6.02at 0.457Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
- +$2.08at 0.010Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
- +$-2.04at 0.306Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 18:38 | Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 17:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 22:06 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.30 |
| 07-05 21:45 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 21:21 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 13:40 | Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 00:19 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 23:59 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $10.10 |
| 07-03 23:43 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 23:22 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.032 | $3.20 |
| 07-03 23:22 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 07-03 22:34 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 22:33 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 19:19 | Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $11.10 |