Stiff-Agreement-Photo
0xf8bddaf544eca0bc74817b4a8b7f3047f3e3dd85
- Realised P&L
- $-190.22
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 850
- Open portfolio
- $5.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded850
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.435 | $5.70 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.96at 0.253Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$15.56at 0.216LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
- +$14.51at 0.560San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$14.37at 0.419Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
- +$12.32at 0.306Ravens vs. Falcons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:01 | VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4499999695 | $5.90 |
| 10-20 02:53 | Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5 | SELL | 0.55 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 02:28 | Penguins vs. Utah | BUY | 0.6099999374 | $1.95 |
| 10-20 01:45 | Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $7.00 |
| 10-20 01:01 | Penguins vs. Utah | BUY | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 10-20 00:34 | Avalanche vs. Flyers | SELL | 0.23 | $2.13 |
| 10-20 00:08 | Avalanche vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 02:34 | Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 10-19 02:22 | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | SELL | 0.1 | $1.33 |
| 10-19 00:08 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-18 23:58 | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $6.00 |
| 10-18 23:57 | Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 10-18 23:36 | Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $16.96 |
| 10-18 22:57 | Cardinals vs. Rams | SELL | 0.18 | $0.26 |
| 10-18 22:52 | Cardinals vs. Rams | BUY | 0.769999909 | $1.10 |