PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf8ba1b4e44afd7083ba6db2d6a5f9da49ed9de0e

0xf8ba1b4e44afd7083ba6db2d6a5f9da49ed9de0e

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$68.2k
Markets traded
976
Open portfolio
$7.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded976
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 15? · Yes0.0600.020$7.22−$14.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.7400.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12AM ET · Down0.5290.000$0.00−$50.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 Paraguay? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ETSELL0.3$6.54
10-15 03:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ETBUY0.2399999963$5.23
10-15 02:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.6199999881$5.22
10-15 02:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10PM ETSELL0.174$4.52
10-15 02:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10PM ETBUY0.12$3.12
10-15 02:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSELL0.85$16.23
10-15 02:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.1099999948$2.10
10-15 01:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETBUY0.0389999996$1.08
10-15 00:19Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 15?BUY0.0599999999$21.65
10-14 14:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.35$2.10
10-14 13:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSELL0.73$7.35
10-14 13:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.5199999563$5.24
10-14 12:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ETSELL0.81$16.98
10-14 12:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ETBUY0.25$5.24
10-14 11:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.16$1.07