0xf8ba1b4e44afd7083ba6db2d6a5f9da49ed9de0e
0xf8ba1b4e44afd7083ba6db2d6a5f9da49ed9de0e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $68.2k
- Markets traded
- 976
- Open portfolio
- $7.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded976
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$308.82at 0.623Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$244.18at 0.452Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$241.23at 0.010Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?
- +$225.44at 0.783Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$194.88at 0.723Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $6.54 |
| 10-15 03:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999963 | $5.23 |
| 10-15 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999881 | $5.22 |
| 10-15 02:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.174 | $4.52 |
| 10-15 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $3.12 |
| 10-15 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $16.23 |
| 10-15 02:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999948 | $2.10 |
| 10-15 01:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0389999996 | $1.08 |
| 10-15 00:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $21.65 |
| 10-14 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $2.10 |
| 10-14 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $7.35 |
| 10-14 13:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999563 | $5.24 |
| 10-14 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $16.98 |
| 10-14 12:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.24 |
| 10-14 11:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.07 |