MickeyMouse
0xf8b58c796a3916f94bb36c40f4a57f0cc097a5ca
- Realised P&L
- $-418.57
- Volume
- $12.41M
- Markets traded
- 541
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded541
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.4kat 0.052Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$77.4kat 0.024Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$13.7kat 0.037Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$12.9kat 0.112Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
- +$8.5kat 0.092Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:58 | Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.97 |
| 07-10 22:21 | Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.0880135005 | $150.92 |
| 07-10 14:32 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.7 | $428.26 |
| 07-01 13:59 | United States leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.47 | $528.75 |
| 06-05 19:00 | Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $858.27 |
| 05-28 15:21 | Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.983 | $98.30 |
| 05-28 15:20 | Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.9809704433 | $995.68 |
| 05-27 01:09 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.42 | $52.50 |
| 05-26 12:22 | Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.6599904762 | $2.1k |
| 05-26 12:17 | Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $945.00 |
| 05-26 12:14 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.16 | $70.88 |
| 05-25 13:22 | Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.74 | $1.5k |
| 05-24 23:12 | Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.52 | $18.20 |
| 05-23 22:17 | Will Nashville SC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.76 | $226.52 |
| 05-23 13:15 | Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $851.78 |