0xf8b41e54632d9338d0b5632ed9581ecc6789bf5a
- Realised P&L
- $-52.20
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.65at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 20:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 17:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 12:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.10 |
| 09-11 22:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.36 |
| 09-09 19:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.22 |
| 09-08 19:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |