ShelleyKlein7975
0xf8aefc61e80b7a57c3f2b22a9286c2dded27bb88
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $352.7k
- Markets traded
- 323
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded323
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka | 0.470 | 0.500 | $667.50 | +$40.05 |
| Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.725 | $419.05 | +$31.79 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $140 | 0.290 | 0.554 | $412.18 | +$196.42 |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.925 | $382.95 | +$47.61 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.744 | 0.168 | $133.66 | −$460.05 |
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Afghanistan | 0.101 | 0.055 | $50.98 | −$42.64 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.530 | $38.69 | −$2.92 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$931.14at 0.130Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?
- +$743.85at 0.550Will Trump say "All over the place" this week? (April 19)
- +$407.05at 0.650Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?
- +$400.44at 0.530Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)
- +$378.28at 0.110Will Keir Starmer say "Venezuela" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 07:49 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $687.58 |
| 04-23 13:48 | Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.17 |
| 04-21 03:40 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $360.18 |
| 04-21 03:25 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $21.76 |
| 04-21 03:22 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $591.60 |
| 04-21 03:21 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $149.60 |
| 04-13 16:55 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 04-13 16:54 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $492.17 |
| 04-13 16:54 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 04-13 16:41 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $44.08 |
| 04-13 16:29 | Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $83.84 |
| 04-13 16:28 | Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $82.35 |
| 04-13 16:26 | Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $87.75 |
| 04-13 15:11 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $3.75 |
| 04-13 15:04 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $289.28 |