PolyBot

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Traders

fireman8d2

0xf8adf1a3fc13c882f7c933a219eef3bdfe6497a3

Realised P&L
$-1.67
Volume
$132.4k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes0.1100.230$921.56+$480.82
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$184.04$306.69
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? · Yes0.0720.038$4.27$3.71
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? · Yes0.0270.004$1.79$8.79
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5800.000$0.00$7.00
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$8.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1PM ET · Down0.4350.000$0.00$196.00
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? · No0.0260.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 11:09Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.004$490.78
07-24 18:14Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.955$10.61
04-16 17:33Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.116$1.16
03-12 14:33Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.53$5.13
03-02 20:36US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
02-14 08:31US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?BUY0.9655610639$11.00
01-27 19:36US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.56$12.07
01-25 14:56US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.5099999879$11.00
01-25 14:53Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?SELL0.87$9.15
01-16 04:07Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999401$3.00
01-03 06:18US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.93$22.00
12-31 04:30Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.5799999901$7.00
12-29 15:25Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?BUY0.91$6.00
12-27 20:37Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
12-26 16:45Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.269999937$3.00