MachueneT
0xf8a864c341fca879dad92cbd0d844d5cf35e80ac
- Realised P&L
- $-0.57
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $7.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.160 | 0.222 | $2.49 | +$0.70 |
| OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? · No | 0.540 | 0.475 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No | 0.005 | 0.004 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? · No | 0.005 | 0.004 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.039 | 0.029 | $0.74 | −$0.25 |
| Will Axis Robotics launch a token by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.013 | 0.009 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15? · No | 0.230 | 0.140 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21? · No | 0.460 | 0.050 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
| Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24? · No | 0.500 | 0.047 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will Axis Robotics launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
| Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 31? · No | 0.480 | 0.005 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.22at 0.004Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$-0.36at 0.007Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:35 | Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:35 | Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:34 | Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 31? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:09 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:08 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:24 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389214235 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:05 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.42 |
| 10-18 21:03 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.51 |
| 10-18 09:30 | Will Axis Robotics launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0127214054 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 09:28 | Will Axis Robotics launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 06:22 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 06:21 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | BUY | 0.0052401747 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 19:02 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.80 |
| 10-16 06:50 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.67 |
| 10-16 06:38 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.73 |