PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JUNe.

0xf8a6504748ea30531f09e7e0fbbf4d6e6bb22b09

Realised P&L
$-14.40
Volume
$423.35
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$7.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.2600.630$2.71+$1.59
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? · No0.8100.920$1.92+$0.23
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat? · Yes0.8000.925$1.54+$0.21
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.8500.835$1.35$0.02
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.2320.020$0.09$0.92
Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat? · Yes0.0630.004$0.06$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 11? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C or higher on May 15? · No0.1780.000$0.00$6.01
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.52
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-13? · No0.2600.000$0.00$7.94
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.24
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner · FaZe0.1780.000$0.00$8.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 14? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$7.34
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May? · Yes0.3140.000$0.00$9.67
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-14 15:45Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C or higher on May 15?BUY0.1778106509$6.01
05-14 15:25Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in May?BUY0.3399999699$6.32
05-14 15:14Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres BurruchagaBUY0.4699999816$6.64
05-14 13:53Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?BUY0.6499999907$6.97
05-14 13:27Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 14?BUY0.1799999833$7.34
05-14 00:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?BUY0.6699999802$7.12
05-13 23:48Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 14?BUY0.2128582847$7.49
05-13 22:55Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-13?BUY0.659999995$7.87
05-13 15:01Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1BUY0.5227916775$7.55
05-13 14:34Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-13?BUY0.2599999804$7.94
05-13 14:29Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.177806204$8.34
05-13 13:10Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 76%?BUY0.5932279902$8.76
05-12 22:40Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?BUY0.8606552046$9.21
05-12 22:39Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?BUY0.3143303651$9.67
05-10 21:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?BUY0.8499999595$1.05