PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

crossover

0xf8a62ee8faba92b783f0639f62717cf6d9e4eb5e

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$95.7k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$823.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.6630.560$325.13−$59.86
Will Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.0640.185$289.73+$189.73
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4580.403$87.88−$12.12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0800.055$68.75−$31.25
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.2700.280$51.85+$1.85
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2920.000$0.00−$291.68
Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Knicks0.2860.000$0.00−$84.00
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$28.99
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) · Nuggets0.5200.000$0.00−$37.50
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs · Trail Blazers0.1650.000$0.00−$10.85
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$55.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$47.00
Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$94.90
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$45.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 20:04Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.2852902384$393.67
10-27 20:03Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.29$400.18
10-27 20:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3699999998$500.00
10-27 20:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3549934335$500.00
10-23 02:45Spread: Thunder (-8.5)SELL0.6967943977$150.74
10-22 17:37Spread: Thunder (-8.5)BUY0.519999999$150.00
10-20 17:02Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4579999986$100.00
10-14 12:56Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$38.20
10-14 12:55Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$38.20
10-09 15:12Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.15$102.09
10-09 15:12Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$65.08
10-06 03:12Will Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.0638531378$100.00
10-05 22:49Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1767075842$100.00
10-05 00:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.845659537$298.11
10-05 00:18Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.08$100.00