crossover
0xf8a62ee8faba92b783f0639f62717cf6d9e4eb5e
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $95.7k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $823.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.238Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$1.2kat 0.083Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
- +$924.50at 0.299Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
- +$44.00at 0.560Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31?
- +$33.95at 0.182Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 20:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.2852902384 | $393.67 |
| 10-27 20:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.29 | $400.18 |
| 10-27 20:00 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3699999998 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 20:00 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3549934335 | $500.00 |
| 10-23 02:45 | Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | SELL | 0.6967943977 | $150.74 |
| 10-22 17:37 | Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | BUY | 0.519999999 | $150.00 |
| 10-20 17:02 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4579999986 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 12:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $38.20 |
| 10-14 12:55 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $38.20 |
| 10-09 15:12 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.15 | $102.09 |
| 10-09 15:12 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $65.08 |
| 10-06 03:12 | Will Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.0638531378 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 22:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1767075842 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 00:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.845659537 | $298.11 |
| 10-05 00:18 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |