TimPim
0xf8a21a3513fe640d682a7f833df055bd5cd69d08
- Realised P&L
- $-7.28
- Volume
- $203.99
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Steel" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.845 | $6.76 | −$0.36 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7? · Yes | 0.983 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.48at 0.966Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?
- +$0.42at 0.953Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 2?
- +$0.38at 0.958Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?
- +$0.36at 0.940Will PepsiCo say "Snack" during earnings call?
- +$0.32at 0.964Will Albania win on 2026-10-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 21:24 | Will Trump say "Steel" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.12 |
| 10-05 23:50 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.956 | $8.60 |
| 10-03 22:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.46 |
| 10-03 22:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.93 |
| 10-02 21:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.55 |