rogerslisa
0xf89e06928029749eded6ed81e61e5eb790e5e1bb
- Realised P&L
- $-171.24
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $13.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.855 | $13.84 | +$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.72at 0.448Will Fulham vs. Southampton end in a draw?
- +$11.36at 0.481Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?
- +$5.04at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
- +$4.00at 0.680Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?
- +$0.45at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.839999958 | $13.60 |
| 01-31 13:24 | Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.07 |
| 01-30 16:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999575 | $23.00 |
| 01-30 14:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.31 |
| 01-30 13:29 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $24.53 |
| 12-30 11:50 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.92 |
| 12-30 00:59 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.14 |
| 12-29 22:30 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.59 |
| 12-29 22:09 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.78 |
| 12-29 20:08 | Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.11 |
| 10-31 15:10 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.98 |
| 10-30 19:06 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.06 |
| 09-29 17:20 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.58 |
| 09-29 06:26 | Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.57 |
| 09-29 04:51 | Will XRP dip to $2.00 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.76 |