Phineaswynd
0xf89c994f49ae83fe62e10f1bed0f5afb93625e0b
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $23.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar50.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) · Ryan Gandra | 0.830 | 0.825 | $8.58 | −$0.05 |
| UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) · Joanderson Brito | 0.780 | 0.765 | $7.85 | −$0.15 |
| UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims) · JooSang Yoo | 0.700 | 0.695 | $6.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · No | 0.879 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.490Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5
- +$194.94at 0.547Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
- +$25.88at 0.526Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
- +$8.92at 0.530Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)
- +$6.66at 0.681Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Claire Liu
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 06:51 | UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.779999998 | $8.00 |
| 09-15 06:51 | UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 06:51 | UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.8299999962 | $8.63 |
| 07-14 11:16 | Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Claire Liu | BUY | 0.6699999966 | $14.00 |
| 06-09 07:27 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.9739999998 | $20.00 |
| 05-13 06:39 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8789999895 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 06:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY | 0.9509999981 | $20.00 |
| 04-25 19:44 | Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | BUY | 0.5485573819 | $120.64 |
| 04-09 12:08 | Spread: Raptors (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $14.06 |
| 03-26 14:32 | Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $5.06 |
| 03-10 12:55 | US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999944 | $6.00 |
| 03-10 12:53 | Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? | BUY | 0.8899999922 | $8.00 |
| 03-10 12:53 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 10? | BUY | 0.9689999993 | $10.00 |
| 02-09 06:58 | Yale Bulldogs vs. Howard Bison | BUY | 0.8 | $6.00 |
| 02-09 06:57 | Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Storm | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |