drg69
0xf899421417e108bd55f97b76dc7e5031d103f951
- Realised P&L
- $-505.21
- Volume
- $33.7k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $641.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? · No | 0.982 | 0.996 | $115.76 | +$1.57 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 1? · No | 0.988 | 0.999 | $115.40 | +$1.21 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 1? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.996 | $114.43 | +$0.23 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $114.30 | +$0.11 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.986 | $113.44 | −$0.75 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 1? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $67.85 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.21at 0.965Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 19?
- +$9.96at 0.971Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 1?
- +$8.69at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 2?
- +$7.61at 0.980Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?
- +$6.77at 0.975Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 16:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9819999999 | $114.19 |
| 09-30 16:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9969999939 | $67.75 |
| 09-30 16:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9919999922 | $114.19 |
| 09-30 16:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $114.19 |
| 09-30 16:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9879999999 | $114.19 |
| 09-30 16:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $114.20 |
| 09-29 17:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 30? | SELL | 0.991 | $56.97 |
| 09-29 17:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 30? | BUY | 0.992999985 | $57.09 |
| 09-29 12:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 29? | SELL | 0.946 | $55.67 |
| 09-28 16:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.9869135799 | $57.10 |
| 09-28 16:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.9949128763 | $57.10 |
| 09-28 16:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 29? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $57.10 |
| 09-28 16:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 29? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $57.09 |
| 09-28 02:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9948544879 | $228.49 |
| 09-28 02:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 28? | BUY | 0.982 | $266.57 |