zw06z7xmgqx0
0xf8989d537bae4dbca9cae392cdfc9e37bc57a57c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.85
- Volume
- $465.63
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $0.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.025 | $0.12 | −$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.30at 0.397Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
- +$2.09at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$1.80at 0.360Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
- +$1.73at 0.380Will the Labour Party (PvdA) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
- +$1.59at 0.200Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 22:13 | Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.62 |
| 04-20 20:29 | Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.913 | $0.57 |
| 04-13 06:08 | Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.4799999415 | $1.64 |
| 04-12 16:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.16 |
| 04-12 16:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.56 |
| 04-12 16:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.84 |
| 04-12 16:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.60 |
| 04-12 08:56 | Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.52 |
| 04-12 04:02 | VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.49 | $2.00 |
| 04-12 02:39 | VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.479999952 | $1.94 |
| 04-11 12:44 | Oilers vs. Kings | SELL | 0.46 | $0.23 |
| 04-11 12:44 | Oilers vs. Kings | SELL | 0.46 | $0.12 |
| 04-11 12:38 | Oilers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.4899998177 | $1.29 |
| 04-11 11:44 | Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $1.96 |
| 04-10 22:14 | Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.83 | $3.10 |