onlyknowalittle
0xf894d31560102bebfbc78a2e06e438272e019cec
- Realised P&L
- $-73.11
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $8.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.34at 0.090Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$36.00at 0.100Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$22.00at 0.720Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$6.60at 0.660Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$-0.27at 0.009Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 02:12 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | BUY | 0.031 | $6.20 |
| 04-29 23:55 | Kash Patel out by May 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 04-29 23:53 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $11.20 |
| 04-29 23:50 | James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 04-29 23:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.034 | $20.06 |
| 04-29 23:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $4.96 |
| 04-12 22:50 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.27 |
| 04-12 22:43 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $33.00 |
| 04-12 22:40 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 04-12 22:38 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 04-12 17:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.1444853333 | $10.84 |
| 04-11 16:46 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 04-11 16:42 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 04-11 16:37 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 04-08 02:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |