aJMHG42
0xf88dd8a72b53c75169c7530ca6975edcfaaf7cef
- Realised P&L
- $195.19
- Volume
- $46.9k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.50at 0.550Blues vs. Flyers
- +$9.22at 0.736Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
- +$8.16at 0.736Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?
- +$2.23at 0.938Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$1.49at 0.962Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:11 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $30.70 |
| 09-19 03:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9959672378 | $30.40 |
| 09-18 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9789999999 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 02:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $36.90 |
| 09-14 01:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $37.02 |
| 09-13 15:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9819999941 | $36.40 |
| 09-05 08:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9799999836 | $34.60 |
| 09-04 15:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9789999995 | $33.90 |
| 09-03 03:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on September 2? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $33.70 |
| 09-02 14:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 2? | BUY | 0.9929999723 | $33.50 |
| 09-01 15:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 1? | BUY | 0.986 | $33.00 |
| 08-31 05:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.985 | $32.60 |
| 08-31 02:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.992 | $32.40 |
| 08-30 13:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $32.00 |
| 08-29 02:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.988 | $31.60 |