skywy
0xf8891b7b5ad825956cfb16631e860b7b2e1be6de
- Realised P&L
- $-189.46
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 537
- Open portfolio
- $19.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded537
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.07at 0.449Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
- +$8.35at 0.090Solana Up or Down - June 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$8.29at 0.096Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$8.07at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$8.00at 0.127Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.65 |
| 11-01 05:31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in November? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.12 |
| 11-01 05:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in November? | BUY | 0.93 | $6.51 |
| 10-26 04:13 | Will Solana dip to $90 in October? | BUY | 0.84 | $7.56 |
| 10-20 08:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |
| 10-20 08:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |
| 10-20 08:53 | Will Solana reach $120 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 10-20 08:53 | Will Solana reach $120 in October? | BUY | 0.84 | $7.56 |
| 10-20 08:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-20 08:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-20 08:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |
| 10-20 08:48 | Will Solana reach $130 in October? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 10-10 21:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 21:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |