xzbyyjjjkk
0xf8880e89f2bf6961b85813ad79ac38e135f85e3d
- Realised P&L
- $-403.55
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $98.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27? · No | 0.951 | 0.982 | $98.15 | +$3.05 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? · No | 0.978 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$215.16 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? · No | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$254.45 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19? · No | 0.835 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.85at 0.935Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?
- +$12.60at 0.860Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?
- +$12.44at 0.984Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 6-12?
- +$10.08at 0.952Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?
- +$8.36at 0.951Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 12:28 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $226.74 |
| 04-03 14:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $226.48 |
| 03-30 10:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $219.78 |
| 03-20 12:01 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? | BUY | 0.988 | $210.44 |
| 03-19 08:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $209.79 |
| 03-18 09:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18? | BUY | 0.996 | $210.15 |
| 03-14 11:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.999 | $207.79 |
| 03-12 14:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.996 | $207.17 |