newbie77
0xf8871f87fbb32d5ce21e3f8902f70f4f0f266b54
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $310.2k
- Markets traded
- 356
- Open portfolio
- $35.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded356
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$425.64at 0.149Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$382.72at 0.862Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1460.00 and 1479.99 at the end of January 2026?
- +$370.69at 0.814Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$205.53at 0.926Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
- +$188.16at 0.897Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:33 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $28.21 |
| 09-17 15:32 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1350.00 and 1399.99 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.46 |
| 09-17 15:26 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | BUY | 0.45 | $39.56 |
| 09-17 15:25 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | BUY | 0.501 | $13.25 |
| 09-16 01:23 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $96.36 |
| 09-16 01:20 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.48 | $31.20 |
| 09-14 18:21 | Instituto AC Córdoba vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 09-14 02:46 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-14 02:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $430.00 |
| 09-14 02:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.57 |
| 09-14 02:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in September? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 09-14 00:35 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.9386870644 | $171.04 |
| 09-14 00:28 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 09-14 00:27 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | BUY | 0.505 | $5.05 |
| 09-14 00:25 | CA Independiente vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |