newbie77
0xf8871f87fbb32d5ce21e3f8902f70f4f0f266b54
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $444.0k
- Markets traded
- 400
- Open portfolio
- $37.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded400
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$425.64at 0.149Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$382.72at 0.862Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1460.00 and 1479.99 at the end of January 2026?
- +$339.84at 0.825Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$307.99at 0.772Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$266.52at 0.002Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:37 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%? | BUY | 0.3525 | $28.20 |
| 11-01 21:38 | Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.33 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.04 | $100.15 |
| 11-01 01:48 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%? | BUY | 0.9195697687 | $82.31 |
| 10-31 04:22 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $33.66 |
| 10-30 13:28 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.044 | $0.45 |
| 10-28 21:51 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? | BUY | 0.48 | $33.55 |
| 10-27 14:41 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | BUY | 0.2 | $11.60 |
| 10-27 01:15 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | SELL | 0.7431157495 | $156.65 |
| 10-26 22:25 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | BUY | 0.6716971059 | $609.93 |
| 10-26 22:19 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 10-26 22:18 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.181 | $18.10 |
| 10-26 22:15 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October? | BUY | 0.9666906077 | $174.97 |
| 10-26 22:13 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.80 |
| 10-26 01:47 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.564 | $11.96 |