Slaycation
0xf884db08dc208d63e7f004287b09d68b46738f01
- Realised P&L
- $-42.12
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 636
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded636
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 7? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 5? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 6? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 5? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 2? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.21at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 16?
- +$7.00at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on April 14?
- +$4.46at 0.782Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 15?
- +$4.32at 0.797Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 28?
- +$3.16at 0.843Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:05 | Will FC Vizela vs. Sporting CP B end in a draw? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.04 |
| 10-10 20:04 | Will Académico de Viseu FC vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.03 |
| 10-10 19:15 | Will Celta Fortuna vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.05 |
| 10-10 19:13 | Will FC Vizela vs. Sporting CP B end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:13 | Will Académico de Viseu FC vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:06 | Will Celta Fortuna vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 7? | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 7? | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 7? | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7? | BUY | 0.8799999883 | $3.00 |
| 06-07 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 7? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 7? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |