Boygonepoly
0xf880cf0d6a4e6fb31eb8f41a9f7b4d6443183628
- Realised P&L
- $-38.48
- Volume
- $49.5k
- Markets traded
- 297
- Open portfolio
- $10.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded297
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.26at 0.140Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
- +$32.05at 0.159Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$27.50at 0.130Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
- +$20.90at 0.168Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.79at 0.056Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 20:59 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-19 07:53 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-18 11:24 | Will Mohammed Abubakar Adamu win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.053 | $1.01 |
| 10-18 11:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-17 21:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 10-16 20:58 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.104 | $1.04 |
| 10-16 20:58 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.234 | $1.87 |
| 10-14 16:38 | Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-13 10:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.0133 | $0.27 |
| 10-13 10:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-13 05:24 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 10-12 22:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-12 22:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.085 | $1.70 |
| 10-12 22:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $8.55 |
| 10-12 07:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |