daegoth
0xf87c7529fce35f2c74a06aeadb7b24ac67bfcfcb
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $3.70M
- Markets traded
- 11,870
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,870
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.32at 0.974Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 26?
- +$215.23at 0.924Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 23?
- +$192.69at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
- +$188.58at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 2?
- +$178.26at 0.992Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.995 | $14.93 |
| 09-25 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $73.50 |
| 09-25 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.43 |
| 09-25 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $70.93 |
| 09-25 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $77.92 |
| 09-25 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $24.58 |
| 09-25 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $73.50 |
| 09-25 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-25 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 09-25 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.09 |
| 09-25 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.977 | $7.82 |
| 09-25 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $73.50 |
| 09-25 05:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $21.78 |
| 09-25 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $47.89 |
| 09-25 05:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |