aBanza
0xf87b289eefa4e2727d941db6cf7624c8fe592ec0
- Realised P&L
- $-38.94
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $103.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.130 | $52.00 | +$4.00 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.105 | $32.16 | +$7.16 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.075 | $15.00 | −$5.00 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.043 | $3.95 | −$8.14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.60 |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Down | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.29at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
- +$3.54at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$1.93at 0.904Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 04:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 04:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $9.00 |
| 07-29 04:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $9.63 |
| 07-29 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 06:08 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 06-18 17:49 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $12.60 |
| 03-03 04:06 | World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | BUY | 0.1099999962 | $25.00 |
| 03-02 03:47 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0819999972 | $25.00 |