BackToProfit
0xf875cf328c6d840fbe87b2228c837952559f814d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $205.6k
- Markets traded
- 789
- Open portfolio
- $96.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded789
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.700 | $35.00 | +$5.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? · No | 0.880 | 0.280 | $33.60 | −$72.00 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.875 | $30.51 | +$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$289.22at 0.791Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$175.42at 0.406England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$164.59at 0.297Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
- +$157.14at 0.560Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
- +$157.14at 0.420Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 08-07 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.88 | $105.60 |
| 08-07 15:31 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $21.33 |
| 08-07 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $89.92 |
| 08-07 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $68.42 |
| 08-07 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8921035902 | $220.00 |
| 08-07 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.1811954545 | $15.95 |
| 08-07 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8588772084 | $58.82 |
| 08-07 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.42 | $5.46 |
| 08-07 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.7194505495 | $65.47 |
| 08-07 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $104.30 |
| 08-07 04:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.7218181818 | $31.76 |
| 08-07 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.135 | $2.70 |
| 08-06 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.45 | $35.66 |
| 08-06 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0566620721 | $2.47 |