BackToProfit
0xf875cf328c6d840fbe87b2228c837952559f814d
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $213.8k
- Markets traded
- 825
- Open portfolio
- $362.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded825
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $90 in September? · No | 0.919 | 0.984 | $196.80 | +$12.91 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? · No | 0.850 | 0.870 | $87.00 | +$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 25? · No | 0.796 | 1.000 | $65.97 | +$13.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.160 | $11.20 | +$9.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.008 | $1.63 | +$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$284.20at 0.794Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$171.99at 0.418England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$164.59at 0.296Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
- +$154.50at 0.567Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
- +$151.90at 0.726Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0066654909 | $1.36 |
| 09-25 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0278571429 | $1.95 |
| 09-25 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $79.24 |
| 09-25 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.7957575758 | $52.52 |
| 09-25 04:43 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 09-24 20:16 | Netherlands vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.51 | $36.42 |
| 09-24 18:13 | Netherlands vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.92 | $72.97 |
| 09-23 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $159.95 |
| 09-22 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.84 | $134.49 |
| 09-22 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.994949209 | $119.49 |
| 09-21 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8495836803 | $102.04 |
| 09-21 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8138461538 | $10.58 |
| 09-21 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.85 | $33.99 |
| 09-21 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.897980846 | $56.26 |