PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Goat8524

0xf861192b5d52e8365e171b8bd6a7849ba9d4681f

Realised P&L
$-41.0k
Volume
$496.8k
Markets traded
218
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded218
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 03:50Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$6.00
07-30 03:48Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.034$20.40
07-30 03:48Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$90.00
07-30 03:48Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$18.00
07-30 03:47Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.35$210.00
07-30 03:46Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.049$98.00
07-30 03:42Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.72$154.43
07-30 03:40Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.35$140.00
07-30 03:40Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.35$105.00
07-25 09:16Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.44$22.00
07-25 09:15Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.02626393$18.48
07-25 09:10Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?SELL0.8899606317$201.19
07-25 09:09Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.67$574.85
07-19 04:17Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.63$5.12
07-19 04:15Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007877292$8.60