PolyBot

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Traders

Goat8524

0xf861192b5d52e8365e171b8bd6a7849ba9d4681f

Realised P&L
$-42.1k
Volume
$519.0k
Markets traded
222
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded222
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 09:58Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8599999884$22.29
09-08 09:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4899999824$10.00
09-08 09:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
09-08 09:54No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.167$43.80
09-03 05:19No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.2759999935$21.93
09-03 05:18Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0259999975$10.00
09-03 05:18Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0259999975$10.00
09-03 05:17Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.025$62.10
09-03 05:17Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.31$124.00
09-03 05:12Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.16$32.00
09-03 05:12Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.16$16.00
09-03 05:09Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.142$28.40
09-03 05:08Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.057$5.70
09-03 05:08Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.048$47.71
09-03 05:08Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.033$9.90