valenzuelarichard
0xf85ee009a2dd6ebc6e02a21e50329bea784ff71f
- Realised P&L
- $-58.42
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $28.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: Sabah FK O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.860 | 0.865 | $28.73 | +$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.68at 0.530China Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Ann Li
- +$12.39at 0.998Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?
- +$2.45at 0.920Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 27?
- +$0.51at 0.986OpenAI browser in July?
- +$0.20at 0.993Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:08 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.994 | $13.52 |
| 01-30 14:41 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.06 |
| 01-30 14:37 | Will Chainlink hit $19 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $25.55 |
| 01-30 13:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.24 |
| 12-30 10:59 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.16 |
| 12-30 10:25 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989998769 | $2.67 |
| 12-30 09:47 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.29 |
| 12-30 09:25 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.73 |
| 12-29 20:14 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.86 |
| 12-29 19:36 | Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.73 |
| 10-30 21:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | BUY | 0.9889999684 | $15.82 |
| 10-30 21:16 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.88 |
| 09-29 09:24 | Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.55 |
| 09-29 09:23 | Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September? | BUY | 0.9979999528 | $13.07 |
| 09-28 23:51 | Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30? | BUY | 0.9949999491 | $17.00 |