PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

valenzuelarichard

0xf85ee009a2dd6ebc6e02a21e50329bea784ff71f

Realised P&L
$-58.42
Volume
$15.0k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$28.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: Sabah FK O/U 2.5 · Under0.8600.865$28.73+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:08Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.994$13.52
01-30 14:41Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$4.06
01-30 14:37Will Chainlink hit $19 in January?BUY0.995$25.55
01-30 13:25Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$18.24
12-30 10:59Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?BUY0.999$1.16
12-30 10:25Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?BUY0.9989998769$2.67
12-30 09:47US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY0.998$6.29
12-30 09:25Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?BUY0.999$24.73
12-29 20:14Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.999$8.86
12-29 19:36Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?BUY0.998$17.73
10-30 21:31Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?BUY0.9889999684$15.82
10-30 21:16Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$11.88
09-29 09:24Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$11.55
09-29 09:23Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?BUY0.9979999528$13.07
09-28 23:51Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?BUY0.9949999491$17.00