0xf85edcc6f56ae158bb5dafeb27ded6e6f6f4c110
0xf85edcc6f56ae158bb5dafeb27ded6e6f6f4c110
- Realised P&L
- $-17.50
- Volume
- $549.83
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $55.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.217 | $22.10 | +$2.10 |
| Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.076 | $19.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.280 | $14.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.81at 0.241Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 29.5
- +$12.90at 0.475Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?
- +$6.01at 0.455Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?
- +$4.78at 0.512Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5
- +$-5.02at 0.231Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:49 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $16.00 |
| 10-31 16:28 | Spread: 76ers (-9.5) | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 16:24 | Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 16:21 | Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 14:09 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.989 | $11.24 |
| 10-31 12:21 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 10:18 | Kings vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 06:13 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.079 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 15:16 | Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 15:13 | Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5 | BUY | 0.2295285337 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 14:50 | Grizzlies vs. Kings | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 14:33 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25? | SELL | 0.88 | $28.69 |
| 10-25 10:39 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.4599999951 | $15.00 |
| 10-19 11:26 | Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 11:25 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.1963579084 | $20.00 |