PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf85edcc6f56ae158bb5dafeb27ded6e6f6f4c110

0xf85edcc6f56ae158bb5dafeb27ded6e6f6f4c110

Realised P&L
$-17.50
Volume
$549.83
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$55.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? · Yes0.1960.217$22.10+$2.10
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0790.076$19.37−$0.63
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.3000.280$14.00−$1.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$16.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:49Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.3399999966$16.00
10-31 16:28Spread: 76ers (-9.5)BUY0.2799999978$5.00
10-31 16:24Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 29.5BUY0.2399999923$5.00
10-31 16:21Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5BUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-31 14:09Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?SELL0.989$11.24
10-31 12:21Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.4399999754$5.00
10-31 10:18Kings vs. GrizzliesBUY0.2$5.00
10-28 06:13Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.079$20.00
10-26 15:16Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)BUY0.3899999945$5.00
10-26 15:13Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5BUY0.2295285337$5.00
10-25 14:50Grizzlies vs. KingsBUY0.4$10.00
10-25 14:33Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?SELL0.88$28.69
10-25 10:39Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.4599999951$15.00
10-19 11:26Spread: Spurs (-2.5)BUY0.5$10.00
10-19 11:25Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?BUY0.1963579084$20.00