PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

B3ta

0xf85943b4fddfaeb94077fcb0fa2190de24cb00c6

Realised P&L
$184.02
Volume
$44.9k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$65.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes0.4450.230$50.60$47.20
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? · No0.9401.000$15.00+$0.90
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$55.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2640.000$0.00$132.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$34.00
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score · No0.4600.000$0.00$46.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$98.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$18.70
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.0170.000$0.00$17.00
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$50.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-01? · No0.3000.000$0.00$3.00
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score · No0.5300.000$0.00$53.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:29Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1$10.00
07-10 02:18Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?BUY0.94$28.20
07-09 20:01Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?SELL0.522$52.20
07-08 00:19Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?BUY0.926$22.22
07-08 00:18Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?BUY0.926$23.15
07-07 23:48Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?BUY0.862$86.20
07-05 19:53Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.55$55.00
07-05 18:03Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.88$88.00
07-02 22:28Will Vučić officially leave office by July 17?BUY0.79$21.33
07-02 22:26Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.93$18.60
07-02 22:25Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.81$20.25
07-02 22:24Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be below 18 cents?BUY0.95$9.50
07-02 22:21GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?BUY0.969$9.69
07-02 19:13Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?BUY0.88$17.60
07-02 18:54Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?BUY0.94$19.74