B3ta
0xf85943b4fddfaeb94077fcb0fa2190de24cb00c6
- Realised P&L
- $184.02
- Volume
- $44.9k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $65.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.445 | 0.230 | $50.60 | −$47.20 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? · No | 0.940 | 1.000 | $15.00 | +$0.90 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.70 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? · No | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$613.45at 0.550Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$292.56at 0.760Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$18.00at 0.820Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.87at 0.790Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$7.25at 0.880Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:29 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 02:18 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 07-09 20:01 | Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.522 | $52.20 |
| 07-08 00:19 | Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? | BUY | 0.926 | $22.22 |
| 07-08 00:18 | Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? | BUY | 0.926 | $23.15 |
| 07-07 23:48 | Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.862 | $86.20 |
| 07-05 19:53 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 07-05 18:03 | Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 07-02 22:28 | Will Vučić officially leave office by July 17? | BUY | 0.79 | $21.33 |
| 07-02 22:26 | Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 07-02 22:25 | Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.81 | $20.25 |
| 07-02 22:24 | Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be below 18 cents? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 07-02 22:21 | GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $9.69 |
| 07-02 19:13 | Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 07-02 18:54 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.74 |