orednabale
0xf8582a3dece4e9fe4560ce1bdefd280b792184c3
- Realised P&L
- $-32.28
- Volume
- $782.02
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $7.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.93at 0.116Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 16?
- +$6.76at 0.125Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?
- +$5.62at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12?
- +$4.50at 0.552Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21? | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $1.50 |
| 10-18 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.50 |
| 10-18 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.50 |
| 10-18 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.5499998396 | $1.20 |
| 10-18 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.6099999139 | $1.70 |
| 10-16 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $1.50 |
| 10-15 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.1387649833 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.1389999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.50 |
| 10-11 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |