PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

orednabale

0xf8582a3dece4e9fe4560ce1bdefd280b792184c3

Realised P&L
$-32.28
Volume
$782.02
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$7.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20? · Yes0.1300.435$3.35+$2.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21? · Yes0.5300.550$1.56+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21? · Yes0.1800.260$1.44+$0.44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20? · Yes0.5500.475$1.04−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 10? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 15? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 8? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 8? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 14? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 7? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 14? · Yes0.6890.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:29Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-20 10:29Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21?BUY0.5299999399$1.50
10-18 14:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19?BUY0.4299998882$1.50
10-18 14:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19?BUY0.48$1.50
10-18 14:34Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-18 14:32Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20?BUY0.5499998396$1.20
10-18 14:31Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-18 14:31Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 18?BUY0.6099999139$1.70
10-16 10:19Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 17?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-16 10:19Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 17?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-15 20:24Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 16?BUY0.4099999535$1.50
10-15 20:23Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 16?BUY0.1387649833$1.00
10-13 09:27Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 14?BUY0.1389999924$1.00
10-13 09:25Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 13?BUY0.4299998882$1.50
10-11 15:13Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?BUY0.4599997976$1.00