PolyBot

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Traders

0xf85190a097122193956de48fd6c81732163f1c9a

0xf85190a097122193956de48fd6c81732163f1c9a

Realised P&L
$11.60
Volume
$463.05
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$4.47

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · Yes0.2500.355$1.42+$0.42
Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.3500.365$1.04+$0.04
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? · Yes0.2400.185$0.77−$0.23
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026? · Yes0.2300.150$0.65−$0.35
CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%? · Yes0.3000.175$0.58−$0.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:14Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
11-01 08:01Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-31 21:54Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-30 23:27CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-30 13:38Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-29 03:46Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.3039999708$1.00
10-28 19:45Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $168 in October?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-28 11:36Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-28 03:35Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-27 19:34Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2709999927$1.00
10-26 23:22Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-26 14:34Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?BUY0.8$1.00
10-26 06:34Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-25 10:34Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
10-25 02:26Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00