0xf85190a097122193956de48fd6c81732163f1c9a
0xf85190a097122193956de48fd6c81732163f1c9a
- Realised P&L
- $11.60
- Volume
- $463.05
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $4.47
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.355 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.365 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.185 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.150 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.175 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.59at 0.227Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.81at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$3.67at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.31at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
- +$2.83at 0.360Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:14 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 08:01 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 21:54 | Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 23:27 | CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 13:38 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 03:46 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3039999708 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 19:45 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $168 in October? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 11:36 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 03:35 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 19:34 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2709999927 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:22 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:34 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 06:34 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 10:34 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 02:26 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |