Wills-Z
0xf85171e952b8fc523cc7458a31fd179b40afef53
- Realised P&L
- $-14.1k
- Volume
- $102.4k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $285.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5) · Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 0.350 | 1.000 | $285.57 | +$185.57 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$320.00 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$590.33 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$495.00 |
| Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.37 |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$285.00 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-06? · Yes | 0.455 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-15? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) · Shanghai Shenhua FC | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.08 |
| Will Derby County FC win on 2026-08-15? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-08-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) · Ecuador | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$704.76at 0.422Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?
- +$589.43at 0.452Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-09?
- +$502.70at 0.381Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-29?
- +$491.14at 0.402Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-05?
- +$402.81at 0.442Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 01:45 | Will Houston Dynamo vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3699999995 | $114.56 |
| 09-09 12:34 | Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $237.85 |
| 09-09 11:23 | Will Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.37 | $78.07 |
| 09-09 11:22 | Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4199999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 11:17 | Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 11:17 | Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 10:48 | Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4266666667 | $6.40 |
| 09-09 10:40 | Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3863667718 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 10:39 | Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 10:39 | Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4619 | $92.38 |
| 09-08 12:26 | Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $565.90 |
| 09-08 10:50 | Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3362923358 | $190.50 |
| 09-08 10:48 | Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4369132074 | $200.00 |
| 09-06 23:53 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.557076558 | $282.21 |
| 09-06 23:48 | Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.6199999997 | $285.00 |