Maki777
0xf84f76dffa64a443452bee55d2399b45e1895c5c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $46.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.391Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- +$629.75at 0.618Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
- +$304.43at 0.635Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
- +$31.83at 0.562Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
- +$25.12at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 09:51 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.302 | $12.38 |
| 10-16 01:38 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Kazakhstan? | BUY | 0.0097077954 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 00:50 | Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%? | BUY | 0.2323330088 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 05:23 | Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.34 |
| 10-05 21:35 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3414592801 | $180.00 |
| 10-05 00:26 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? | BUY | 0.4053220143 | $38.66 |
| 09-29 13:51 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3549394379 | $777.00 |
| 09-29 13:36 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.332 | $19.92 |
| 06-09 18:18 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $30.00 |
| 06-09 18:13 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 16:58 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 06:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6724683475 | $25.00 |
| 06-04 05:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 06-04 05:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $24.99 |
| 06-04 05:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |