BYmrTr
0xf84f06de73d965f2672e2b06948a464e499993c4
- Realised P&L
- $2.35
- Volume
- $352.61
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $4.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 12? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.070 | $4.28 | −$1.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$9.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$4.98 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.47at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 11?
- +$-1.96at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11? | SELL | 0.91 | $38.31 |
| 10-11 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.95 | $40.00 |
| 10-11 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.0928438328 | $5.68 |
| 10-11 12:45 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.9 | $11.11 |
| 10-11 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.4399999676 | $5.43 |
| 10-11 09:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.1337664817 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 09:00 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | BUY | 0.0279999914 | $3.12 |