PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

leke

0xf84d10bcae66a69c39ee2292c6898aa107b25e65

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$1.17M
Markets traded
3,403
Open portfolio
$135.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,403
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26? · Yes0.9901.000$60.58+$0.58
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 26? · No0.9990.933$46.67−$3.27
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on September 26? · Yes0.9900.510$12.64−$11.90
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 1°C on September 26? · No0.9900.850$8.50−$1.40
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 26? · No0.9900.495$4.95−$4.95
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 26? · No0.9900.975$2.64−$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 21:32Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 26?BUY0.999$49.95
09-26 21:00Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 26?BUY0.99$2.68
09-26 20:00Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on September 26?BUY0.99$24.54
09-26 20:00Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 26?BUY0.99$9.90
09-26 19:01Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 1°C on September 26?BUY0.99$9.90
09-26 19:01Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on September 26?BUY0.9871581961$13.79
09-26 19:01Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on September 26?BUY0.9866666667$14.80
09-26 19:01Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.9841107185$16.71
09-26 18:31Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on September 26?BUY0.9853913367$53.00
09-26 18:31Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 26?BUY0.9866666667$14.80
09-26 18:01Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on September 26?BUY0.99$4.96
09-26 18:01Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on September 26?BUY0.99$27.72
09-26 18:01Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on September 26?BUY0.99$9.90
09-26 15:39Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on September 26?BUY0.9866666667$14.80
09-26 15:35Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 26?BUY0.99$19.80