leke
0xf84d10bcae66a69c39ee2292c6898aa107b25e65
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $1.17M
- Markets traded
- 3,403
- Open portfolio
- $135.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,403
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $60.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 26? · No | 0.999 | 0.933 | $46.67 | −$3.27 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.510 | $12.64 | −$11.90 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 1°C on September 26? · No | 0.990 | 0.850 | $8.50 | −$1.40 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 26? · No | 0.990 | 0.495 | $4.95 | −$4.95 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 26? · No | 0.990 | 0.975 | $2.64 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$868.65at 0.679Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 17?
- +$531.09at 0.695Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 11?
- +$378.35at 0.882Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?
- +$289.79at 0.835Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?
- +$274.87at 0.876Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-26 21:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.68 |
| 09-26 20:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.54 |
| 09-26 20:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-26 19:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 1°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-26 19:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9871581961 | $13.79 |
| 09-26 19:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 09-26 19:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9841107185 | $16.71 |
| 09-26 18:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9853913367 | $53.00 |
| 09-26 18:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 09-26 18:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.96 |
| 09-26 18:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $27.72 |
| 09-26 18:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-26 15:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 09-26 15:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |